Value bet: Macara to win @ 3.80 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversidad Catolica to win ✗48% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.17
Macara vs Universidad Catolica preview and prediction
The match
Macara host Universidad Catolica in the Liga Pro on Tuesday 18 August, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Bellavista. Macara are 2nd with 67 points from 36 games, while Universidad Catolica sit 3rd on 54 points. A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Macara's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Santos 1–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Universidad Catolica's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Libertad 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 April 2026, finished Universidad Catolica 4–0 Macara.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Macara and 1.4 for Universidad Catolica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Macara 30%, draw 22%, Universidad Catolica 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Macara to win at 3.80 – 30% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Macara 1–1 Universidad Catolica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Macara30%fair 3.36 · @3.80
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.35
Universidad Catolica48%fair 2.06 · @1.96
2.44Expected goals
1.03Macara xG
1.42Universidad Catolica xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–29%
0–09%
From our goals model: Macara 1.0 – 1.4 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win✗
48%
2.06
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica✗
What is the prediction for Macara vs Universidad Catolica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Macara vs Universidad Catolica?
On our numbers Macara have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Universidad Catolica 48%.
How many goals will there be in Macara vs Universidad Catolica?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Macara vs Universidad Catolica?
Our predicted score is Macara 1–1 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Macara vs Universidad Catolica?
Macara vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
