Value bet: Guayaquil City FC to win @ 3.75 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversidad Catolica to win ✗49% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.90
Guayaquil City FC vs Universidad Catolica preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Guayaquil City FC take on Universidad Catolica on Monday 27 July, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio Christian Benitez Betancourt. Guayaquil City FC are 8th with 48 points from 36 games, while Universidad Catolica sit 3rd on 54 points.
Form guide
Guayaquil City FC's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Leones del Norte 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Universidad Catolica's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Barcelona SC 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Guayaquil City FC and 1.4 for Universidad Catolica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guayaquil City FC 30%, draw 21%, Universidad Catolica 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Guayaquil City FC to win at 3.75 – 30% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Guayaquil City FC 1–1 Universidad Catolica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guayaquil City FC30%fair 3.34 · @3.75
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.40
Universidad Catolica49%fair 2.04 · @1.97
2.40Expected goals
1.00Guayaquil City FC xG
1.40Universidad Catolica xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–29%
From our goals model: Guayaquil City FC 1.0 – 1.4 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win✗
49%
2.04
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica✗
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.90
–
Form
Guayaquil City FC – last 6
DWDWLL
23 Jul
@ Leones del Norte
1–1
D
19 Jul
vs Manta FC
1–0
W
16 Jul
@ Barcelona SC
1–1
D
12 Jul
vs Delfin SC
2–1
W
8 Jul
@ Aucas
0–1
L
31 May
vs Independiente del Valle
2–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Universidad Catolica – last 6
WWWLLL
22 Jul
vs Barcelona SC
2–1
W
18 Jul
@ Deportivo Cuenca
2–0
W
15 Jul
vs LDU de Quito
1–0
W
10 Jul
@ Leones del Norte
0–1
L
6 Jul
vs Mushuc Runa SC
2–3
L
1 Jun
@ Emelec
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guayaquil City FC and Universidad Catolica.
What is the prediction for Guayaquil City FC vs Universidad Catolica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Guayaquil City FC vs Universidad Catolica?
On our numbers Guayaquil City FC have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Universidad Catolica 49%.
How many goals will there be in Guayaquil City FC vs Universidad Catolica?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guayaquil City FC vs Universidad Catolica?
Our predicted score is Guayaquil City FC 1–1 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Guayaquil City FC vs Universidad Catolica?
Guayaquil City FC vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 27 July 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Christian Benitez Betancourt.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
