Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Emelec to win @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Cuenca to win ✓38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.93
Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Cuenca host Emelec in the Liga Pro on Tuesday 28 July, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Alejandro Serrano Aguilar. Deportivo Cuenca are 11th with 47 points from 36 games, while Emelec sit 10th on 45 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Deportivo Cuenca's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Macara 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Emelec's last 5: DLWDD Most recently they drew with Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Emelec arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Emelec 0–2 Deportivo Cuenca.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.1 for Emelec. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Emelec to win at 3.20 – 37% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Emelec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Cuenca38%fair 2.63 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.10
Emelec37%fair 2.68 · @3.20
2.15Expected goals
1.08Deportivo Cuenca xG
1.07Emelec xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 1.1 – 1.1 Emelec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec?
On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Emelec 37%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Emelec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec?
Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec (Liga Pro) kicks off on Tuesday 28 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
