Value bet: Mushuc Runa SC to win @ 3.70 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMacara to win ✓46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.46
Macara vs Mushuc Runa SC preview and prediction
The match
Mushuc Runa SC travel to Estadio Bellavista in the Liga Pro on Tuesday 14 July (22:30 WAT) to face Macara. Macara are 2nd with 67 points from 36 games, while Mushuc Runa SC sit 12th on 43 points. A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Macara's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Tecnico Universitario 2–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mushuc Runa SC's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Independiente del Valle 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Macara arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Mushuc Runa SC 0–0 Macara.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Macara and 1.1 for Mushuc Runa SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Macara 46%, draw 22%, Mushuc Runa SC 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Mushuc Runa SC to win at 3.70 – 32% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Macara 1–1 Mushuc Runa SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Macara46%fair 2.16 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Mushuc Runa SC32%fair 3.14 · @3.70
2.43Expected goals
1.36Macara xG
1.06Mushuc Runa SC xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Macara 1.4 – 1.1 Mushuc Runa SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Macara vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Macara vs Mushuc Runa SC?
On our numbers Macara have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mushuc Runa SC 32%.
How many goals will there be in Macara vs Mushuc Runa SC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Macara vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our predicted score is Macara 1–1 Mushuc Runa SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Macara vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Macara vs Mushuc Runa SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Tuesday 14 July 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
