Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarcelona SC to win ✗35% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗70% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.00
Emelec vs Barcelona SC preview and prediction
The match
Barcelona SC travel to Estadio George Capwell in the Liga Pro on Monday 13 July (00:10 WAT) to face Emelec. Emelec are 10th with 45 points from 36 games, while Barcelona SC sit 6th on 49 points.
Form guide
Emelec's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Delfin SC 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Barcelona SC's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Deportivo Cuenca 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Emelec and 1.1 for Barcelona SC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Emelec 35%, draw 30%, Barcelona SC 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Emelec 0–1 Barcelona SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Emelec35%fair 2.86 · @2.58
Draw30%fair 3.35 · @2.98
Barcelona SC35%fair 2.84 · @2.88
2.03Expected goals
0.97Emelec xG
1.06Barcelona SC xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Emelec 1.0 – 1.1 Barcelona SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barcelona SC to win✗
35%
2.84
2.88
Double chance
Either team to win✗
70%
1.43
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.00
–
Form
Emelec – last 6
DWWDLW
5 Jul
@ Delfin SC
1–1
D
1 Jun
vs Universidad Catolica
1–0
W
24 May
vs Macara
2–0
W
18 May
@ Manta FC
0–0
D
3 May
@ Leones del Norte
0–2
L
25 Apr
vs LDU de Quito
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Barcelona SC – last 6
WLLWLW
5 Jul
vs Deportivo Cuenca
2–0
W
2 Jun
@ Tecnico Universitario
0–1
L
29 May
@ Cruzeiro
0–4
L
25 May
@ Delfin SC
2–1
W
22 May
@ U. Catolica
0–2
L
17 May
vs Aucas
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Emelec and Barcelona SC.
What is the prediction for Emelec vs Barcelona SC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Emelec vs Barcelona SC?
On our numbers Emelec have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Barcelona SC 35%.
How many goals will there be in Emelec vs Barcelona SC?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emelec vs Barcelona SC?
Our predicted score is Emelec 0–1 Barcelona SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Emelec vs Barcelona SC?
Emelec vs Barcelona SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 13 July 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio George Capwell.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
