Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw ✗81% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Universidad Catolica vs Mushuc Runa SC preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Universidad Catolica take on Mushuc Runa SC on Monday 6 July, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT) at Olimpico Atahualpa. Universidad Catolica are 3rd with 54 points from 36 games, while Mushuc Runa SC sit 12th on 43 points.
Form guide
Universidad Catolica's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Emelec 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Mushuc Runa SC's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Gualaceo SC 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Universidad Catolica arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Universidad Catolica and 0.9 for Mushuc Runa SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Universidad Catolica 61%, draw 20%, Mushuc Runa SC 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Universidad Catolica 2–0 Mushuc Runa SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Universidad Catolica61%fair 1.64 · @1.53
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @4.10
Mushuc Runa SC19%fair 5.22 · @5.80
2.70Expected goals
1.82Universidad Catolica xG
0.88Mushuc Runa SC xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Universidad Catolica 1.8 – 0.9 Mushuc Runa SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win✗
61%
1.64
1.53
Double chance
Universidad Catolica or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.42
Half-time result
Universidad Catolica ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.21
–
Form
Universidad Catolica – last 6
LWLLLW
1 Jun
@ Emelec
0–1
L
29 May
@ El Nacional
4–1
W
13 May
vs Independiente del Valle
0–3
L
1 May
vs Independiente del Valle
2–3
L
27 Apr
@ Manta FC
0–1
L
24 Apr
vs Macara
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mushuc Runa SC – last 6
LDLLLD
3 Jun
@ Gualaceo SC
0–1
L
31 May
vs Aucas
0–0
D
17 May
@ Leones del Norte
1–3
L
12 May
vs LDU de Quito
1–3
L
23 Apr
@ Barcelona SC
1–2
L
7 Apr
@ Libertad
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universidad Catolica and Mushuc Runa SC.
What is the prediction for Universidad Catolica vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Universidad Catolica vs Mushuc Runa SC?
On our numbers Universidad Catolica have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mushuc Runa SC 19%.
How many goals will there be in Universidad Catolica vs Mushuc Runa SC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universidad Catolica vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our predicted score is Universidad Catolica 2–0 Mushuc Runa SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Universidad Catolica vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Universidad Catolica vs Mushuc Runa SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 6 July 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Olimpico Atahualpa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
