Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: LDU de Quito to win @ 2.34 – our chance 49% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLDU de Quito to win ✗49% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.86
Macara vs LDU de Quito preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Macara take on LDU de Quito on Sunday 5 July, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Bellavista. Macara are 2nd with 67 points from 36 games, while LDU de Quito sit 4th on 54 points. A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Macara's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
LDU de Quito's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Orense SC 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
LDU de Quito arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished LDU de Quito 0–2 Macara.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.9 for Macara and 1.3 for LDU de Quito. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Macara 28%, draw 22%, LDU de Quito 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.90.
Value angle: LDU de Quito to win at 2.34 – 49% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Macara 0–1 LDU de Quito. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Macara28%fair 3.52 · @3.05
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
LDU de Quito49%fair 2.03 · @2.34
2.19Expected goals
0.89Macara xG
1.31LDU de Quito xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–210%
1–28%
From our goals model: Macara 0.9 – 1.3 LDU de Quito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Macara vs LDU de Quito?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Macara vs LDU de Quito?
On our numbers Macara have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and LDU de Quito 49%.
How many goals will there be in Macara vs LDU de Quito?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Macara vs LDU de Quito?
Our predicted score is Macara 0–1 LDU de Quito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Macara vs LDU de Quito?
Macara vs LDU de Quito (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
