Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAucas to win ✓63% · @1.41
Double chanceAucas or draw ✓87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.14
Aucas vs Guayaquil City FC preview and prediction
The match
Guayaquil City FC travel to Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda in the Liga Pro on Wednesday 8 July (01:00 WAT) to face Aucas. Aucas are 5th with 54 points from 36 games, while Guayaquil City FC sit 8th on 48 points.
Form guide
Aucas's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Mushuc Runa SC 0–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Guayaquil City FC's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Independiente del Valle 2–4 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Aucas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Aucas and 0.6 for Guayaquil City FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aucas 63%, draw 24%, Guayaquil City FC 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Aucas 1–0 Guayaquil City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aucas63%fair 1.59 · @1.41
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @4.30
Guayaquil City FC13%fair 7.61 · @8.00
2.37Expected goals
1.72Aucas xG
0.65Guayaquil City FC xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Aucas 1.7 – 0.6 Guayaquil City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aucas to win✓
63%
1.59
1.41
Double chance
Aucas or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Half-time result
Aucas ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aucas / FT Aucas✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.14
–
Form
Aucas – last 6
DWWLLW
31 May
@ Mushuc Runa SC
0–0
D
26 May
vs Manta FC
3–1
W
21 May
@ San Antonio
3–0
W
17 May
@ Barcelona SC
0–3
L
2 May
@ Libertad
2–3
L
28 Apr
vs Delfin SC
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Guayaquil City FC – last 6
LLLWWD
31 May
vs Independiente del Valle
2–4
L
19 May
vs Orense SC
0–1
L
14 May
@ Astillero FC (Ecu)
1–2
L
21 Apr
@ Libertad
1–0
W
18 Apr
@ Emelec
3–1
W
23 Mar
vs Leones del Norte
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aucas and Guayaquil City FC.
What is the prediction for Aucas vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Aucas vs Guayaquil City FC?
On our numbers Aucas have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Guayaquil City FC 13%.
How many goals will there be in Aucas vs Guayaquil City FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aucas vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our predicted score is Aucas 1–0 Guayaquil City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Aucas vs Guayaquil City FC?
Aucas vs Guayaquil City FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Wednesday 8 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
