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Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Christian Benitez Betancourt

Guayaquil City FC vs Independiente del Valle prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultIndependiente del Valle to win ✓60% · @1.69
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.71

Guayaquil City FC vs Independiente del Valle preview and prediction

The match

Independiente del Valle travel to Estadio Christian Benitez Betancourt in the Liga Pro on Sunday 31 May (21:30 WAT) to face Guayaquil City FC. Guayaquil City FC are 8th with 48 points from 36 games, while Independiente del Valle sit 1st on 84 points. A gap of 36 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Guayaquil City FC's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Orense SC 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Independiente del Valle's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Rosario Central 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 23 February 2026, finished Independiente del Valle 2–0 Guayaquil City FC.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.7 for Guayaquil City FC and 1.7 for Independiente del Valle. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Guayaquil City FC 0–1 Independiente del Valle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Guayaquil City FC16%fair 6.14 · @5.10
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.60
Independiente del Valle60%fair 1.68 · @1.69
2.42Expected goals
0.74Guayaquil City FC xG
1.67Independiente del Valle xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–115%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–37%

From our goals model: Guayaquil City FC 0.7 – 1.7 Independiente del Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIndependiente del Valle to win ✓60%1.681.69
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓84%1.191.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.971.95
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.441.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.791.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.311.25
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle ✓37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15%6.71–

Form

Guayaquil City FC – last 6

LLWWDW
19 Mayvs Orense SC0–1L
14 May@ Astillero FC (Ecu)1–2L
21 Apr@ Libertad1–0W
18 Apr@ Emelec3–1W
23 Marvs Leones del Norte0–0D
18 Mar@ Manta FC1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Independiente del Valle – last 6

WLWWWL
27 Mayvs Rosario Central1–0W
23 Mayvs Libertad2–3L
20 Mayvs Libertad Asuncion4–1W
13 May@ Universidad Catolica3–0W
10 Mayvs Barcelona SC1–0W
6 May@ UCV0–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Feb 2026Independiente del Valle v Guayaquil City FC2–0
Guayaquil City FC vs Independiente del Valle head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guayaquil City FC vs Independiente del Valle?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Guayaquil City FC vs Independiente del Valle?

On our numbers Guayaquil City FC have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Independiente del Valle 60%.

How many goals will there be in Guayaquil City FC vs Independiente del Valle?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guayaquil City FC vs Independiente del Valle?

Our predicted score is Guayaquil City FC 0–1 Independiente del Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Guayaquil City FC vs Independiente del Valle?

Guayaquil City FC vs Independiente del Valle (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Christian Benitez Betancourt.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.