Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Emelec to win @ 2.40 – our chance 48% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEmelec to win ✗48% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.76
Manta FC vs Emelec preview and prediction
The match
Emelec travel to Estadio Jocay in the Liga Pro on Monday 18 May (00:10 WAT) to face Manta FC. Manta FC are 16th with 33 points from 36 games, while Emelec sit 10th on 45 points. A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Manta FC's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Macara 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Emelec's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Leones del Norte 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Emelec arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Manta FC and 1.2 for Emelec. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Manta FC 30%, draw 22%, Emelec 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Emelec to win at 2.40 – 48% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Manta FC 0–1 Emelec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Manta FC30%fair 3.33 · @2.95
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
Emelec48%fair 2.10 · @2.40
2.04Expected goals
0.85Manta FC xG
1.19Emelec xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Manta FC 0.9 – 1.2 Emelec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Emelec to win✗
48%
2.10
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Emelec / FT Emelec✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.76
–
Form
Manta FC – last 6
LDWLLL
11 May
vs Macara
0–1
L
3 May
@ Barcelona SC
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs Universidad Catolica
1–0
W
22 Apr
@ Leones del Norte
0–3
L
22 Mar
@ LDU de Quito
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs Guayaquil City FC
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Emelec – last 6
LWWLLD
3 May
@ Leones del Norte
0–2
L
25 Apr
vs LDU de Quito
1–0
W
22 Apr
@ Tecnico Universitario
1–0
W
18 Apr
vs Guayaquil City FC
1–3
L
13 Apr
@ Aucas
0–2
L
9 Apr
@ Universidad Catolica
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manta FC and Emelec.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Manta FC vs Emelec?
On our numbers Manta FC have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Emelec 48%.
How many goals will there be in Manta FC vs Emelec?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manta FC vs Emelec?
Our predicted score is Manta FC 0–1 Emelec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Manta FC vs Emelec?
Manta FC vs Emelec (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jocay.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
