Mushuc Runa SC vs LDU de Quito prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Mushuc Runa SC to win @ 2.98 – our chance 36% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLDU de Quito to win ✓40% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.89
Mushuc Runa SC vs LDU de Quito preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Mushuc Runa SC take on LDU de Quito on Tuesday 12 May, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Bellavista. Mushuc Runa SC are 12th with 43 points from 36 games, while LDU de Quito sit 4th on 54 points.
Form guide
Mushuc Runa SC's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Barcelona SC 1–2 away. They average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
LDU de Quito's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Mirassol 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Mushuc Runa SC and 1.2 for LDU de Quito. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mushuc Runa SC 36%, draw 24%, LDU de Quito 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Mushuc Runa SC to win at 2.98 – 36% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 LDU de Quito. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mushuc Runa SC36%fair 2.80 · @2.98
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.25
LDU de Quito40%fair 2.48 · @2.32
2.23Expected goals
1.07Mushuc Runa SC xG
1.16LDU de Quito xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Mushuc Runa SC 1.1 – 1.2 LDU de Quito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
LDU de Quito to win✓
40%
2.48
2.32
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT LDU de Quito / FT LDU de Quito✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.89
–
Form
Mushuc Runa SC – last 5
LDWLD
23 Apr
@ Barcelona SC
1–2
L
7 Apr
@ Libertad
2–2
D
23 Mar
vs Emelec
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Orense SC
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Macara
0–0
D
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
LDU de Quito – last 6
LLLDWL
7 May
@ Mirassol
0–2
L
28 Apr
@ Lanus
0–1
L
25 Apr
@ Emelec
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs Aucas
0–0
D
15 Apr
vs Mirassol
2–0
W
11 Apr
@ Delfin SC
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mushuc Runa SC and LDU de Quito.
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa SC vs LDU de Quito?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mushuc Runa SC vs LDU de Quito?
On our numbers Mushuc Runa SC have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and LDU de Quito 40%.
How many goals will there be in Mushuc Runa SC vs LDU de Quito?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mushuc Runa SC vs LDU de Quito?
Our predicted score is Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 LDU de Quito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Mushuc Runa SC vs LDU de Quito?
Mushuc Runa SC vs LDU de Quito (Liga Pro) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
