Manta FC vs Universidad Catolica prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Universidad Catolica or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Universidad Catolica to win @ 1.84 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversidad Catolica to win ✗63% · @1.84
Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw ✗83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.55
Manta FC vs Universidad Catolica preview and prediction
The match
Universidad Catolica travel to Estadio Jocay in the Liga Pro on Monday 27 April (22:30 WAT) to face Manta FC. Manta FC are 16th with 33 points from 36 games, while Universidad Catolica sit 3rd on 54 points. A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Manta FC's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Leones del Norte 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Universidad Catolica's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Macara 4–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Universidad Catolica arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.6 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.6 for Manta FC and 1.5 for Universidad Catolica. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Manta FC 17%, draw 20%, Universidad Catolica 63%.
Safer route: Universidad Catolica or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Universidad Catolica to win at 1.84 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Universidad Catolica or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Manta FC 0–1 Universidad Catolica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Manta FC17%fair 5.92 · @4.33
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.40
Universidad Catolica63%fair 1.59 · @1.84
2.15Expected goals
0.60Manta FC xG
1.54Universidad Catolica xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–214%
0–012%
1–111%
1–28%
0–37%
From our goals model: Manta FC 0.6 – 1.5 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win✗
63%
1.59
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Universidad Catolica or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.55
–
Form
Manta FC – last 6
LLLDLL
22 Apr
@ Leones del Norte
0–3
L
22 Mar
@ LDU de Quito
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs Guayaquil City FC
0–1
L
10 Mar
@ Orense SC
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Independiente del Valle
0–2
L
24 Feb
@ Libertad
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Universidad Catolica – last 5
WDWDL
24 Apr
vs Macara
4–0
W
9 Apr
vs Emelec
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs Deportivo Cuenca
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ LDU de Quito
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Juventud
3–4
L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manta FC and Universidad Catolica.
What is the prediction for Manta FC vs Universidad Catolica?
Our pick is Universidad Catolica or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Manta FC vs Universidad Catolica?
On our numbers Manta FC have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Universidad Catolica 63%.
How many goals will there be in Manta FC vs Universidad Catolica?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manta FC vs Universidad Catolica?
Our predicted score is Manta FC 0–1 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Manta FC vs Universidad Catolica?
Manta FC vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jocay.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
