Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.70 – our chance 62% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAucas to win ✓68% · @1.51
Double chanceAucas or draw ✓87% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓22% · fair 4.58
Aucas vs Delfin SC preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Aucas take on Delfin SC on Tuesday 28 April, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda. Aucas are 5th with 54 points from 36 games, while Delfin SC sit 14th on 38 points. A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Aucas's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with LDU de Quito 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Delfin SC's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Independiente del Valle 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aucas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.5 for Aucas and 0.4 for Delfin SC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aucas 68%, draw 19%, Delfin SC 13%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.70 – 62% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Aucas 1–0 Delfin SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aucas68%fair 1.48 · @1.51
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.85
Delfin SC13%fair 7.53 · @6.80
1.93Expected goals
1.51Aucas xG
0.42Delfin SC xG
45%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–016%
0–014%
1–19%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Aucas 1.5 – 0.4 Delfin SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aucas to win✓
68%
1.48
1.51
Double chance
Aucas or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aucas / FT Aucas✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
22%
4.58
–
Form
Aucas – last 6
DWWWWL
23 Apr
@ LDU de Quito
0–0
D
17 Apr
@ Leones del Norte
1–0
W
13 Apr
vs Emelec
2–0
W
6 Apr
@ Macara
1–0
W
24 Mar
vs Orense SC
3–2
W
19 Mar
vs Tecnico Universitario
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Delfin SC – last 6
LDWLLW
22 Apr
vs Independiente del Valle
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Orense SC
0–0
D
11 Apr
vs LDU de Quito
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Leones del Norte
0–1
L
18 Mar
@ Macara
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Guayaquil City FC
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aucas and Delfin SC.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Aucas vs Delfin SC?
On our numbers Aucas have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Delfin SC 13%.
How many goals will there be in Aucas vs Delfin SC?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aucas vs Delfin SC?
Our predicted score is Aucas 1–0 Delfin SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Aucas vs Delfin SC?
Aucas vs Delfin SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Tuesday 28 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
