Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.83
Universidad Catolica vs Macara preview and prediction
The match
Universidad Catolica host Macara in the Liga Pro on Friday 24 April, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Olimpico Atahualpa. Universidad Catolica are 3rd with 54 points from 36 games, while Macara sit 2nd on 67 points. A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Universidad Catolica's last 4: DWDL Most recently they drew with Emelec 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Macara's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Barcelona SC 3–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Macara arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Universidad Catolica and 0.6 for Macara. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 48%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Universidad Catolica 63%, draw 23%, Macara 15%.
Safer route: Universidad Catolica or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Universidad Catolica 1–0 Macara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Universidad Catolica63%fair 1.60 · @1.69
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.65
Macara15%fair 6.81 · @4.90
2.25Expected goals
1.63Universidad Catolica xG
0.62Macara xG
48%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Universidad Catolica 1.6 – 0.6 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win✓
63%
1.60
1.69 ▲
Double chance
Universidad Catolica or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.83
–
Form
Universidad Catolica – last 4
DWDL
9 Apr
vs Emelec
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs Deportivo Cuenca
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ LDU de Quito
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Juventud
3–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Macara – last 6
WWDLWD
20 Apr
vs Barcelona SC
3–1
W
16 Apr
@ Tigre
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs America de Cali
1–1
D
6 Apr
vs Aucas
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs Delfin SC
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Mushuc Runa SC
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universidad Catolica and Macara.
What is the prediction for Universidad Catolica vs Macara?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Universidad Catolica vs Macara?
On our numbers Universidad Catolica have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Macara 15%.
How many goals will there be in Universidad Catolica vs Macara?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universidad Catolica vs Macara?
Our predicted score is Universidad Catolica 1–0 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Universidad Catolica vs Macara?
Universidad Catolica vs Macara (Liga Pro) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Olimpico Atahualpa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
