Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Barcelona SC to win @ 2.95 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarcelona SC to win ✗40% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.96
Macara vs Barcelona SC preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Macara take on Barcelona SC on Monday 20 April, kicking off at 00:10 (WAT) at Estadio Bellavista. Macara are 2nd with 67 points from 36 games, while Barcelona SC sit 6th on 49 points. A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Macara's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Tigre 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Barcelona SC's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Boca Juniors 0–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Macara and 1.0 for Barcelona SC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Macara 35%, draw 24%, Barcelona SC 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Barcelona SC to win at 2.95 – 40% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Macara 0–0 Barcelona SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Macara35%fair 2.82 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.15
Barcelona SC40%fair 2.49 · @2.95
1.90Expected goals
0.91Macara xG
0.99Barcelona SC xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Macara 0.9 – 1.0 Barcelona SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barcelona SC to win✗
40%
2.49
2.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.96
–
Form
Macara – last 6
WDLWDD
16 Apr
@ Tigre
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs America de Cali
1–1
D
6 Apr
vs Aucas
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs Delfin SC
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Mushuc Runa SC
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Tecnico Universitario
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Barcelona SC – last 6
LWLWDD
15 Apr
@ Boca Juniors
0–3
L
11 Apr
vs Leones del Norte
2–1
W
8 Apr
vs Cruzeiro
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ LDU de Quito
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Libertad
0–0
D
16 Mar
@ Guayaquil City FC
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Macara and Barcelona SC.
What is the prediction for Macara vs Barcelona SC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Macara vs Barcelona SC?
On our numbers Macara have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Barcelona SC 40%.
How many goals will there be in Macara vs Barcelona SC?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Macara vs Barcelona SC?
Our predicted score is Macara 0–0 Barcelona SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Macara vs Barcelona SC?
Macara vs Barcelona SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
