Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Macara to win @ 2.30 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMacara to win ✗46% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.81
Macara vs Aucas preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Macara take on Aucas on Monday 6 April, kicking off at 00:10 (WAT) at Estadio Bellavista. Macara are 2nd with 67 points from 36 games, while Aucas sit 5th on 54 points. A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Macara's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Delfin SC 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aucas's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Orense SC 3–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Macara arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Macara and 0.9 for Aucas. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Macara 46%, draw 23%, Aucas 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Macara to win at 2.30 – 46% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Macara 1–0 Aucas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Macara46%fair 2.15 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.10
Aucas31%fair 3.23 · @3.20
2.06Expected goals
1.18Macara xG
0.88Aucas xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Macara 1.2 – 0.9 Aucas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Macara to win✗
46%
2.15
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Macara / FT Macara✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.81
–
Form
Macara – last 6
WDDWWD
18 Mar
vs Delfin SC
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Mushuc Runa SC
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Tecnico Universitario
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Orense SC
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ LDU de Quito
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Leones del Norte
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Aucas – last 3
WLL
24 Mar
vs Orense SC
3–2
W
19 Mar
vs Tecnico Universitario
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Deportivo Cuenca
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Macara and Aucas.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Macara vs Aucas?
On our numbers Macara have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aucas 31%.
How many goals will there be in Macara vs Aucas?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Macara vs Aucas?
Our predicted score is Macara 1–0 Aucas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Macara vs Aucas?
Macara vs Aucas (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
