Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLibertad to win ✗45% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.23
Libertad vs Mushuc Runa SC preview and prediction
The match
Mushuc Runa SC travel to Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne in the Liga Pro on Tuesday 7 April (01:00 WAT) to face Libertad. Libertad are 7th with 51 points from 36 games, while Mushuc Runa SC sit 12th on 43 points.
Form guide
Libertad's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Barcelona SC 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mushuc Runa SC's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Emelec 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Libertad and 1.0 for Mushuc Runa SC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Libertad 45%, draw 22%, Mushuc Runa SC 33%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Libertad 1–0 Mushuc Runa SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Libertad45%fair 2.23 · @2.26
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.35
Mushuc Runa SC33%fair 2.99 · @3.00
2.15Expected goals
1.19Libertad xG
0.96Mushuc Runa SC xG
49%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Libertad 1.2 – 1.0 Mushuc Runa SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertad to win✗
45%
2.23
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertad / FT Libertad✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.23
–
Form
Libertad – last 5
DLWLW
19 Mar
vs Barcelona SC
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ Tecnico Universitario
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs LDU de Quito
2–1
W
5 Mar
@ Deportivo Cuenca
0–3
L
24 Feb
vs Manta FC
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Mushuc Runa SC – last 3
WLD
23 Mar
vs Emelec
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Orense SC
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Macara
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Libertad and Mushuc Runa SC.
What is the prediction for Libertad vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Libertad vs Mushuc Runa SC?
On our numbers Libertad have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mushuc Runa SC 33%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad vs Mushuc Runa SC?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our predicted score is Libertad 1–0 Mushuc Runa SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Libertad vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Libertad vs Mushuc Runa SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Tuesday 7 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
