Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.68 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.68Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAucas to win ✓65% · @1.68
Double chanceAucas or draw ✓87% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.78
Aucas vs Orense SC preview and prediction
The match
Aucas host Orense SC in the Liga Pro on Tuesday 24 March, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda. Aucas are 5th with 54 points from 36 games, while Orense SC sit 13th on 39 points. A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Orense SC's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Mushuc Runa SC 3–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Aucas and 0.7 for Orense SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aucas 65%, draw 22%, Orense SC 13%.
Safer route: Aucas or draw (87%) at 1.19.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.90.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Aucas to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.68, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aucas 1–0 Orense SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aucas65%fair 1.53 · @1.68
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.40
Orense SC13%fair 7.82 · @4.33
2.53Expected goals
1.86Aucas xG
0.68Orense SC xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Aucas 1.9 – 0.7 Orense SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aucas to win✓
65%
1.53
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Aucas or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Aucas ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aucas / FT Aucas✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.78
–
Form
Aucas – last 2
LL
19 Mar
vs Tecnico Universitario
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Deportivo Cuenca
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Orense SC – last 5
WDLDL
19 Mar
vs Mushuc Runa SC
3–2
W
10 Mar
vs Manta FC
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Macara
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Tecnico Universitario
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs LDU de Quito
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aucas and Orense SC.
Our pick is Aucas to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.68.
Who will win Aucas vs Orense SC?
On our numbers Aucas have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Orense SC 13%.
How many goals will there be in Aucas vs Orense SC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aucas vs Orense SC?
Our predicted score is Aucas 1–0 Orense SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Aucas vs Orense SC?
Aucas vs Orense SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Tuesday 24 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
