Tecnico Universitario vs Libertad prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Libertad to win @ 3.45 – our chance 37% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTecnico Universitario to win ✓39% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.52
Tecnico Universitario vs Libertad preview and prediction
The match
Libertad travel to Estadio Bellavista in the Liga Pro on Friday 13 March (22:30 WAT) to face Tecnico Universitario. Tecnico Universitario are 15th with 37 points from 36 games, while Libertad sit 7th on 51 points. A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Libertad's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat LDU de Quito 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Tecnico Universitario and 1.0 for Libertad. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Value angle: Libertad to win at 3.45 – 37% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Tecnico Universitario 1–1 Libertad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tecnico Universitario39%fair 2.59 · @2.14
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Libertad37%fair 2.69 · @3.45
2.06Expected goals
1.04Tecnico Universitario xG
1.02Libertad xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–114%
1–013%
0–113%
0–013%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Tecnico Universitario 1.0 – 1.0 Libertad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tecnico Universitario to win✓
39%
2.59
2.14
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.52
–
Form
Tecnico Universitario – last 2
DD
8 Mar
@ Macara
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Orense SC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Libertad – last 3
WLW
8 Mar
vs LDU de Quito
2–1
W
5 Mar
@ Deportivo Cuenca
0–3
L
24 Feb
vs Manta FC
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tecnico Universitario and Libertad.
What is the prediction for Tecnico Universitario vs Libertad?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tecnico Universitario vs Libertad?
On our numbers Tecnico Universitario have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Libertad 37%.
How many goals will there be in Tecnico Universitario vs Libertad?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tecnico Universitario vs Libertad?
Our predicted score is Tecnico Universitario 1–1 Libertad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Tecnico Universitario vs Libertad?
Tecnico Universitario vs Libertad (Liga Pro) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
