Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓87% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.54
Manta FC vs Independiente del Valle preview and prediction
The match
Manta FC host Independiente del Valle in the Liga Pro on Tuesday 3 March, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Jocay. Manta FC are 16th with 33 points from 36 games, while Independiente del Valle sit 1st on 84 points. A gap of 51 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.6 for Manta FC and 1.9 for Independiente del Valle. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Manta FC 13%, draw 19%, Independiente del Valle 68%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Manta FC 0–1 Independiente del Valle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Manta FC13%fair 7.84 · @6.80
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @4.10
Independiente del Valle68%fair 1.47 · @1.47
2.51Expected goals
0.63Manta FC xG
1.88Independiente del Valle xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
0–39%
1–29%
0–08%
From our goals model: Manta FC 0.6 – 1.9 Independiente del Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
68%
1.47
1.47
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Half-time result
Independiente del Valle ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.54
–
Form
Manta FC – last 1
L
24 Feb
@ Libertad
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Independiente del Valle – last 1
W
23 Feb
vs Guayaquil City FC
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manta FC and Independiente del Valle.
What is the prediction for Manta FC vs Independiente del Valle?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Manta FC vs Independiente del Valle?
On our numbers Manta FC have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Independiente del Valle 68%.
How many goals will there be in Manta FC vs Independiente del Valle?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manta FC vs Independiente del Valle?
Our predicted score is Manta FC 0–1 Independiente del Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Manta FC vs Independiente del Valle?
Manta FC vs Independiente del Valle (Liga Pro) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jocay.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
