Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.76
Universidad Catolica vs Emelec preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Universidad Catolica take on Emelec on Thursday 9 April, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado. Universidad Catolica are 3rd with 54 points from 36 games, while Emelec sit 10th on 45 points.
Form guide
Universidad Catolica's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Emelec's last 4: LLWD Most recently they lost to Deportivo Cuenca 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Universidad Catolica and 0.7 for Emelec. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Universidad Catolica 60%, draw 24%, Emelec 16%.
Safer route: Universidad Catolica or draw (84%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Universidad Catolica 1–0 Emelec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Universidad Catolica60%fair 1.66 · @1.58
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.95
Emelec16%fair 6.34 · @5.50
2.43Expected goals
1.70Universidad Catolica xG
0.73Emelec xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Universidad Catolica 1.7 – 0.7 Emelec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win✗
60%
1.66
1.58
Double chance
Universidad Catolica or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.76
–
Form
Universidad Catolica – last 3
WDL
17 Mar
vs Deportivo Cuenca
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ LDU de Quito
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Juventud
3–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Emelec – last 4
LLWD
5 Apr
vs Deportivo Cuenca
0–2
L
23 Mar
@ Mushuc Runa SC
0–2
L
20 Mar
vs Independiente del Valle
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Delfin SC
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universidad Catolica and Emelec.
What is the prediction for Universidad Catolica vs Emelec?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Universidad Catolica vs Emelec?
On our numbers Universidad Catolica have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Emelec 16%.
How many goals will there be in Universidad Catolica vs Emelec?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universidad Catolica vs Emelec?
Our predicted score is Universidad Catolica 1–0 Emelec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Universidad Catolica vs Emelec?
Universidad Catolica vs Emelec (Liga Pro) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
