Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMacara to win ✗67% · @1.62
Double chanceMacara or draw ✓87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.11
Macara vs Leones del Norte preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Macara take on Leones del Norte on Sunday 22 February, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Bellavista. Macara are 2nd with 67 points from 36 games, while Leones del Norte sit 9th on 47 points. A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Macara and 0.6 for Leones del Norte. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Macara 67%, draw 21%, Leones del Norte 13%.
Safer route: Macara or draw (87%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Macara 1–0 Leones del Norte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Macara67%fair 1.50 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
Leones del Norte13%fair 7.91 · @4.80
2.39Expected goals
1.79Macara xG
0.60Leones del Norte xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–09%
From our goals model: Macara 1.8 – 0.6 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Macara to win✗
67%
1.50
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Macara or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Macara ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Macara / FT Macara✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.11
–
Form
Macara – last 1
L
14 Feb
vs Deportivo Cuenca
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Leones del Norte
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Macara and Leones del Norte.
What is the prediction for Macara vs Leones del Norte?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Macara vs Leones del Norte?
On our numbers Macara have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Leones del Norte 13%.
How many goals will there be in Macara vs Leones del Norte?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Macara vs Leones del Norte?
Our predicted score is Macara 1–0 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Macara vs Leones del Norte?
Macara vs Leones del Norte (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
