Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win ✓72% · @1.24
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.72
Independiente del Valle vs Guayaquil City FC preview and prediction
The match
Guayaquil City FC travel to Estadio Banco Guayaquil in the Liga Pro on Monday 23 February (00:00 WAT) to face Independiente del Valle. Independiente del Valle are 1st with 84 points from 35 games, while Guayaquil City FC sit 8th on 48 points. A gap of 36 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.4 for Independiente del Valle and 0.8 for Guayaquil City FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Independiente del Valle 72%, draw 18%, Guayaquil City FC 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Independiente del Valle to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Independiente del Valle 2–0 Guayaquil City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independiente del Valle72%fair 1.39 · @1.24
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @5.00
Guayaquil City FC10%fair 9.92 · @10.00
3.16Expected goals
2.39Independiente del Valle xG
0.77Guayaquil City FC xG
51%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Independiente del Valle 2.4 – 0.8 Guayaquil City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
72%
1.39
1.24
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.19
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.58
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.49
Half-time result
Independiente del Valle ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✓
50%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.72
–
Form
Independiente del Valle
No recent results on record.
Guayaquil City FC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente del Valle and Guayaquil City FC.
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our pick is Independiente del Valle to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Guayaquil City FC?
On our numbers Independiente del Valle have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Guayaquil City FC 10%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente del Valle vs Guayaquil City FC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente del Valle vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our predicted score is Independiente del Valle 2–0 Guayaquil City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Independiente del Valle vs Guayaquil City FC?
Independiente del Valle vs Guayaquil City FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
