Value bet: Buriram United to win @ 2.95 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBuriram United to win ✗41% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46
Buriram United vs Johor Darul Takzim FC preview and prediction
The match
Johor Darul Takzim FC travel to Chang Arena in the ASEAN Club Championship on Wednesday 13 May (13:00 WAT) to face Buriram United. Buriram United are 1st with 9 points from 5 games, while Johor Darul Takzim FC sit 2nd on 11 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Buriram United's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Lamphun Warrior 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Johor Darul Takzim FC's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Kelantan United 14–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.8 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 May 2026, finished Johor Darul Takzim FC 1–3 Buriram United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.7 for Buriram United and 1.5 for Johor Darul Takzim FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Buriram United 41%, draw 24%, Johor Darul Takzim FC 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Buriram United to win at 2.95 – 41% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Buriram United 1–1 Johor Darul Takzim FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Buriram United41%fair 2.43 · @2.95
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
Johor Darul Takzim FC35%fair 2.87 · @2.25
3.17Expected goals
1.66Buriram United xG
1.51Johor Darul Takzim FC xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Buriram United 1.7 – 1.5 Johor Darul Takzim FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Buriram United vs Johor Darul Takzim FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Buriram United vs Johor Darul Takzim FC?
On our numbers Buriram United have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Johor Darul Takzim FC 35%.
How many goals will there be in Buriram United vs Johor Darul Takzim FC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buriram United vs Johor Darul Takzim FC?
Our predicted score is Buriram United 1–1 Johor Darul Takzim FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Buriram United vs Johor Darul Takzim FC?
Buriram United vs Johor Darul Takzim FC (ASEAN Club Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Chang Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
