Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Buriram United prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Johor Darul Takzim FC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultJohor Darul Takzim FC to win ✗65% · @1.62
Double chanceJohor Darul Takzim FC or draw ✗87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.62
Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Buriram United preview and prediction
The match
The ASEAN Club Championship sees Johor Darul Takzim FC take on Buriram United on Wednesday 6 May, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Sultan Ibrahim Stadium. Johor Darul Takzim FC are 2nd with 11 points from 5 games, while Buriram United sit 1st on 9 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Johor Darul Takzim FC's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Melaka 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game.
Buriram United's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Rayong FC 0–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.5 for Johor Darul Takzim FC and 1.1 for Buriram United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Johor Darul Takzim FC 65%, draw 22%, Buriram United 13%.
Safer route: Johor Darul Takzim FC or draw (87%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Johor Darul Takzim FC to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Johor Darul Takzim FC 2–1 Buriram United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Johor Darul Takzim FC65%fair 1.54 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.30
Buriram United13%fair 7.57 · @4.80
3.60Expected goals
2.48Johor Darul Takzim FC xG
1.12Buriram United xG
61%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–18%
3–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Johor Darul Takzim FC 2.5 – 1.1 Buriram United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Johor Darul Takzim FC to win✗
65%
1.54
1.62
Double chance
Johor Darul Takzim FC or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Johor Darul Takzim FC ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Johor Darul Takzim FC / FT Johor Darul Takzim FC✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.62
–
Form
Johor Darul Takzim FC – last 6
WLDWWW
28 Apr
@ Melaka
2–1
W
17 Apr
@ Al-Ahli Jeddah
1–2
L
11 Apr
vs Terengganu
1–1
D
7 Apr
vs Kuala Lumpur FA
4–1
W
3 Apr
@ Kuala Lumpur FA
4–0
W
18 Mar
vs Pdrm
7–0
W
3.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Buriram United – last 6
LWWLDW
29 Apr
@ Rayong FC
0–3
L
26 Apr
@ Kanchanaburi
3–1
W
12 Apr
vs Ayutthaya FC
2–0
W
8 Apr
vs BG Pathum United
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Ratchaburi
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Muangthong United
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Johor Darul Takzim FC and Buriram United.
What is the prediction for Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Buriram United?
Our pick is Johor Darul Takzim FC to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Buriram United?
On our numbers Johor Darul Takzim FC have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Buriram United 13%.
How many goals will there be in Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Buriram United?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Buriram United?
Our predicted score is Johor Darul Takzim FC 2–1 Buriram United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Buriram United?
Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Buriram United (ASEAN Club Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Sultan Ibrahim Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nam Dinh1