Value bet: Akademiya Konoplev U20 to win @ 1.87 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAkademiya Konoplev U20 to win ✗60% · @1.87
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.23
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.18
Chertanovo U20 vs Akademiya Konoplev U20 preview and prediction
The match
The Youth Championship sees Chertanovo U20 take on Akademiya Konoplev U20 on Friday 23 October, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT). Chertanovo U20 are 13th with 27 points from 29 games (in the bottom half), while Akademiya Konoplev U20 sit 7th on 48 points (in the top half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Chertanovo U20's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to CSKA Moskva U19 2–5 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Akademiya Konoplev U20's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Dynamo Makhachkala U19 3–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Akademiya Konoplev U20 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 June 2026, finished Akademiya Konoplev U20 3–0 Chertanovo U20.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.5 for Chertanovo U20 and 2.4 for Akademiya Konoplev U20. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Akademiya Konoplev U20 to win at 1.87 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Chertanovo U20 1–2 Akademiya Konoplev U20. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chertanovo U2025%fair 3.92 · @3.20
Draw14%fair 7.05 · @3.68
Akademiya Konoplev U2060%fair 1.66 · @1.87
3.81Expected goals
1.45Chertanovo U20 xG
2.36Akademiya Konoplev U20 xG
69%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
2–26%
0–26%
2–16%
From our goals model: Chertanovo U20 1.5 – 2.4 Akademiya Konoplev U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Akademiya Konoplev U20 to win✗
60%
1.66
1.87 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.44
1.23
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.01
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.21
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.59
Half-time result
Akademiya Konoplev U20 ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Akademiya Konoplev U20 / FT Akademiya Konoplev U20✗
What is the prediction for Chertanovo U20 vs Akademiya Konoplev U20?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Chertanovo U20 vs Akademiya Konoplev U20?
On our numbers Chertanovo U20 have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Akademiya Konoplev U20 60%.
How many goals will there be in Chertanovo U20 vs Akademiya Konoplev U20?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chertanovo U20 vs Akademiya Konoplev U20?
Our predicted score is Chertanovo U20 1–2 Akademiya Konoplev U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Chertanovo U20 vs Akademiya Konoplev U20?
Chertanovo U20 vs Akademiya Konoplev U20 (Youth Championship) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
