Chertanovo U20 vs Fakel U19 preview and prediction
The match
The Youth Championship sees Chertanovo U20 take on Fakel U19 on Friday 15 May, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT). Chertanovo U20 are 13th with 27 points from 29 games (in the bottom half), while Fakel U19 sit 16th on 20 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Chertanovo U20's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Dinamo Moskva U19 2–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Fakel U19's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to CSKA Moskva U19 1–5 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Chertanovo U20 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.6 for Chertanovo U20 and 1.0 for Fakel U19. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Chertanovo U20 to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.46. Predicted score: Chertanovo U20 2–1 Fakel U19. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chertanovo U2069%fair 1.46 · @1.46
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @4.15
Fakel U1911%fair 9.37 · @5.40
3.65Expected goals
2.61Chertanovo U20 xG
1.04Fakel U19 xG
64%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Chertanovo U20 2.6 – 1.0 Fakel U19 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chertanovo U20 to win✓
69%
1.46
1.46
Double chance
Chertanovo U20 or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.34
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.81
Half-time result
Chertanovo U20 ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chertanovo U20 / FT Chertanovo U20✗
48%
2.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.85
–
Form
Chertanovo U20 – last 6
DWWDLD
7 May
@ Dinamo Moskva U19
2–2
D
1 May
vs Nizhny Novgorod U19
3–2
W
24 Apr
@ Almaz Antey U19
3–2
W
17 Apr
vs Lokomotiv Moskva U19
2–2
D
10 Apr
@ Spartak Moskva U19
0–3
L
20 Mar
@ Rubin Kazan U20
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Fakel U19 – last 6
LLLLWL
7 May
vs CSKA Moskva U19
1–5
L
1 May
vs Akademiya Konoplev U20
2–3
L
24 Apr
@ Dinamo Moskva U19
0–2
L
17 Apr
vs Nizhny Novgorod U19
1–2
L
10 Apr
@ Almaz Antey U19
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Lokomotiv Moskva U19
2–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chertanovo U20 and Fakel U19.
What is the prediction for Chertanovo U20 vs Fakel U19?
Our pick is Chertanovo U20 to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.
Who will win Chertanovo U20 vs Fakel U19?
On our numbers Chertanovo U20 have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fakel U19 11%.
How many goals will there be in Chertanovo U20 vs Fakel U19?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chertanovo U20 vs Fakel U19?
Our predicted score is Chertanovo U20 2–1 Fakel U19, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Chertanovo U20 vs Fakel U19?
Chertanovo U20 vs Fakel U19 (Youth Championship) kicks off on Friday 15 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
