Sumsel United vs Bekasi City preview and prediction
The match
Bekasi City travel to Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring in the Liga 2 on Sunday 12 April (13:00 WAT) to face Sumsel United. Sumsel United are 4th with 42 points from 27 games (in the top four), while Bekasi City sit 3rd on 44 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sumsel United's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Adhyaksa 2–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Bekasi City's last 4: DLWW Most recently they drew with Persekat 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bekasi City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Sumsel United and 0.9 for Bekasi City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sumsel United 59%, draw 21%, Bekasi City 20%.
Safer route: Sumsel United or draw (80%) at 1.16.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.63.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.37. Predicted score: Sumsel United 1–0 Bekasi City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sumsel United59%fair 1.69 · @1.71
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.62
Bekasi City20%fair 4.90 · @3.96
2.69Expected goals
1.78Sumsel United xG
0.91Bekasi City xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Sumsel United 1.8 – 0.9 Bekasi City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sumsel United to win✗
59%
1.69
1.71
Double chance
Sumsel United or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.63
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.37
Half-time result
Sumsel United ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sumsel United / FT Sumsel United✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.29
–
Form
Sumsel United – last 3
LWL
28 Mar
@ Adhyaksa
2–3
L
22 Feb
vs Garudayaksa
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ PSMS Medan
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bekasi City – last 4
DLWW
6 Apr
vs Persekat
1–1
D
29 Mar
@ Garudayaksa
0–4
L
22 Feb
vs Persiraja Banda Aceh
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ Sriwijaya FC
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sumsel United and Bekasi City.
What is the prediction for Sumsel United vs Bekasi City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Sumsel United vs Bekasi City?
On our numbers Sumsel United have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bekasi City 20%.
How many goals will there be in Sumsel United vs Bekasi City?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sumsel United vs Bekasi City?
Our predicted score is Sumsel United 1–0 Bekasi City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sumsel United vs Bekasi City?
Sumsel United vs Bekasi City (Liga 2) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
