Persiba Balikpapan vs Persipura Jayapura prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Persipura Jayapura or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Persipura Jayapura to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPersipura Jayapura to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chancePersipura Jayapura or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13% · fair 7.57
Persiba Balikpapan vs Persipura Jayapura preview and prediction
The match
Persipura Jayapura travel to Stadion Batakan in the Liga 2 on Saturday 4 April (13:00 WAT) to face Persiba Balikpapan. Persiba Balikpapan are 9th with 19 points from 27 games (in the bottom three), while Persipura Jayapura sit 2nd on 56 points (in the top four). A gap of 37 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Persiba Balikpapan's last 4: LDDD Most recently they lost to Persela Lamongan 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Persipura Jayapura's last 4: WLLW Most recently they beat Deltras 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Persipura Jayapura arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Persiba Balikpapan and 1.8 for Persipura Jayapura. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 44%.
Safer route: Persipura Jayapura or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Persipura Jayapura to win at 1.75 – 62% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Persipura Jayapura or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Persiba Balikpapan 0–1 Persipura Jayapura. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Persiba Balikpapan15%fair 6.53 · @3.70
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
Persipura Jayapura62%fair 1.61 · @1.75
2.64Expected goals
0.79Persiba Balikpapan xG
1.84Persipura Jayapura xG
44%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Persiba Balikpapan 0.8 – 1.8 Persipura Jayapura expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persipura Jayapura to win✓
62%
1.61
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Persipura Jayapura or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Persipura Jayapura ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persipura Jayapura / FT Persipura Jayapura✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
13%
7.57
–
Form
Persiba Balikpapan – last 4
LDDD
28 Mar
@ Persela Lamongan
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs PSIS Semarang
0–0
D
23 Feb
@ Persipal
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Persiku Kudus
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Persipura Jayapura – last 4
WLLW
28 Mar
vs Deltras
3–0
W
1 Mar
@ Tornado Pekanbaru
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ PSS Sleman
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Barito Putera
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persiba Balikpapan and Persipura Jayapura.
What is the prediction for Persiba Balikpapan vs Persipura Jayapura?
Our pick is Persipura Jayapura or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Persiba Balikpapan vs Persipura Jayapura?
On our numbers Persiba Balikpapan have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Persipura Jayapura 62%.
How many goals will there be in Persiba Balikpapan vs Persipura Jayapura?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persiba Balikpapan vs Persipura Jayapura?
Our predicted score is Persiba Balikpapan 0–1 Persipura Jayapura, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Persiba Balikpapan vs Persipura Jayapura?
Persiba Balikpapan vs Persipura Jayapura (Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Batakan.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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