Persela Lamongan vs Persiba Balikpapan prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Persela Lamongan to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPersela Lamongan to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chancePersela Lamongan or draw ✓85% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.69
Persela Lamongan vs Persiba Balikpapan preview and prediction
The match
Persiba Balikpapan travel to Stadion Surajaya in the Liga 2 on Saturday 28 March (09:30 WAT) to face Persela Lamongan. Persela Lamongan are 6th with 41 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while Persiba Balikpapan sit 9th on 19 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Persela Lamongan's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to PSS Sleman 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Persiba Balikpapan's last 3: DDD Most recently they drew with PSIS Semarang 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Persiba Balikpapan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Persela Lamongan and 0.6 for Persiba Balikpapan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 41%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Persela Lamongan or draw (85%) at 1.13.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Persela Lamongan to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Persela Lamongan 1–0 Persiba Balikpapan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Persela Lamongan64%fair 1.56 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.10
Persiba Balikpapan15%fair 6.70 · @4.20
2.23Expected goals
1.63Persela Lamongan xG
0.60Persiba Balikpapan xG
41%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Persela Lamongan 1.6 – 0.6 Persiba Balikpapan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persela Lamongan to win✓
64%
1.56
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Persela Lamongan or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.13
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persela Lamongan / FT Persela Lamongan✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.69
–
Form
Persela Lamongan – last 3
LLD
1 Mar
vs PSS Sleman
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Persiku Kudus
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ PSIS Semarang
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Persiba Balikpapan – last 3
DDD
1 Mar
vs PSIS Semarang
0–0
D
23 Feb
@ Persipal
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Persiku Kudus
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persela Lamongan and Persiba Balikpapan.
What is the prediction for Persela Lamongan vs Persiba Balikpapan?
Our pick is Persela Lamongan to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Persela Lamongan vs Persiba Balikpapan?
On our numbers Persela Lamongan have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Persiba Balikpapan 15%.
How many goals will there be in Persela Lamongan vs Persiba Balikpapan?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persela Lamongan vs Persiba Balikpapan?
Our predicted score is Persela Lamongan 1–0 Persiba Balikpapan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Persela Lamongan vs Persiba Balikpapan?
Persela Lamongan vs Persiba Balikpapan (Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Surajaya.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Adhyaksa3
Sumsel United2