Value bet: Tornado Pekanbaru to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarito Putera to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.45
Barito Putera vs Tornado Pekanbaru preview and prediction
The match
Barito Putera host Tornado Pekanbaru in the Liga 2 on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Demang Lehman Stadium. Barito Putera are 3rd with 53 points from 27 games (in the top four), while Tornado Pekanbaru sit 4th on 50 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Barito Putera and 1.2 for Tornado Pekanbaru. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 46%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barito Putera 40%, draw 22%, Tornado Pekanbaru 38%.
Value angle: Tornado Pekanbaru to win at 2.88 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 52% chance at odds of 1.95. Predicted score: Barito Putera 1–1 Tornado Pekanbaru. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barito Putera40%fair 2.49 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.50
Tornado Pekanbaru38%fair 2.66 · @2.88
2.48Expected goals
1.27Barito Putera xG
1.22Tornado Pekanbaru xG
46%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Barito Putera 1.3 – 1.2 Tornado Pekanbaru expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barito Putera to win✗
40%
2.49
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barito Putera / FT Barito Putera✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.45
–
Form
Barito Putera – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Persipura Jayapura
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Tornado Pekanbaru – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Persipal
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barito Putera and Tornado Pekanbaru.
What is the prediction for Barito Putera vs Tornado Pekanbaru?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Barito Putera vs Tornado Pekanbaru?
On our numbers Barito Putera have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tornado Pekanbaru 38%.
How many goals will there be in Barito Putera vs Tornado Pekanbaru?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barito Putera vs Tornado Pekanbaru?
Our predicted score is Barito Putera 1–1 Tornado Pekanbaru, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Barito Putera vs Tornado Pekanbaru?
Barito Putera vs Tornado Pekanbaru (Liga 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Demang Lehman Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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