Value bet: Sumsel United to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPSMS Medan to win ✓43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.31
PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United preview and prediction
The match
Sumsel United travel to Stadion Teladan in the Liga 2 on Saturday 14 February (13:00 WAT) to face PSMS Medan. PSMS Medan are 7th with 36 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while Sumsel United sit 4th on 42 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for PSMS Medan and 1.2 for Sumsel United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: PSMS Medan 43%, draw 22%, Sumsel United 35%.
Value angle: Sumsel United to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: PSMS Medan 1–1 Sumsel United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PSMS Medan43%fair 2.31 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.10
Sumsel United35%fair 2.89 · @3.10
2.54Expected goals
1.36PSMS Medan xG
1.18Sumsel United xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: PSMS Medan 1.4 – 1.2 Sumsel United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PSMS Medan to win✓
43%
2.31
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PSMS Medan / FT PSMS Medan✓
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.31
–
Form
PSMS Medan
No recent results on record.
Sumsel United
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PSMS Medan and Sumsel United.
What is the prediction for PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United?
On our numbers PSMS Medan have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sumsel United 35%.
How many goals will there be in PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United?
Our predicted score is PSMS Medan 1–1 Sumsel United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United?
PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United (Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Teladan.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
PSS Sleman3
Deltras1