Nairobi City Stars vs Vihiga United FC prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.75
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNairobi City Stars to win60% · @1.50
Double chanceNairobi City Stars or draw84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.55
Nairobi City Stars vs Vihiga United FC preview and prediction
The match
Nairobi City Stars host Vihiga United FC in the Super League on Saturday 9 May, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Nairobi City Stars's last 4: DDWL Most recently they drew with MOFA 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Vihiga United FC's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to 3K 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Nairobi City Stars and 0.6 for Vihiga United FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nairobi City Stars 60%, draw 24%, Vihiga United FC 16%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nairobi City Stars 1–0 Vihiga United FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nairobi City Stars60%fair 1.65 · @1.50
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.60
Vihiga United FC16%fair 6.32 · @5.75
2.13Expected goals
1.52Nairobi City Stars xG
0.61Vihiga United FC xG
38%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Nairobi City Stars 1.5 – 0.6 Vihiga United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nairobi City Stars to win
60%
1.65
1.50
Double chance
Nairobi City Stars or draw
84%
1.19
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
59%
1.69
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nairobi City Stars / FT Nairobi City Stars
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
18%
5.55
–
Form
Nairobi City Stars – last 4
DDWL
28 Mar
vs MOFA
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Nzoia Sugar
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Fortune Sacco
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ Migori Youth
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Vihiga United FC – last 6
LDLWLD
1 May
vs 3K
2–3
L
12 Apr
vs MCF
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Mombasa Elite
1–3
L
29 Mar
vs Kabati Youth FC
2–1
W
21 Mar
@ MOFA
2–3
L
1 Mar
@ Fortune Sacco
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nairobi City Stars and Vihiga United FC.
What is the prediction for Nairobi City Stars vs Vihiga United FC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Nairobi City Stars vs Vihiga United FC?
On our numbers Nairobi City Stars have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vihiga United FC 16%.
How many goals will there be in Nairobi City Stars vs Vihiga United FC?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nairobi City Stars vs Vihiga United FC?
Our predicted score is Nairobi City Stars 1–0 Vihiga United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Nairobi City Stars vs Vihiga United FC?
Nairobi City Stars vs Vihiga United FC (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.