Blacktown Spartans vs Newcastle Jets II preview and prediction
The match
Newcastle Jets II travel to face Blacktown Spartans in the New South Wales NPL 2 on Saturday 4 July (06:30 WAT).
Form guide
Blacktown Spartans's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Rydalmere Lions 3–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Newcastle Jets II's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Inter Lions 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Blacktown Spartans arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.4 for Blacktown Spartans and 1.4 for Newcastle Jets II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Blacktown Spartans 2–1 Newcastle Jets II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Blacktown Spartans60%fair 1.67 · @1.53
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @4.00
Newcastle Jets II21%fair 4.73 · @4.50
3.79Expected goals
2.40Blacktown Spartans xG
1.39Newcastle Jets II xG
68%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–05%
From our goals model: Blacktown Spartans 2.4 – 1.4 Newcastle Jets II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Blacktown Spartans to win✓
60%
1.67
1.53
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Blacktown Spartans ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Blacktown Spartans / FT Blacktown Spartans✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.05
–
Form
Blacktown Spartans – last 6
WDWLWD
26 Jun
vs Rydalmere Lions
3–1
W
20 Jun
@ Dulwich Hill
1–1
D
12 Jun
vs Bankstown City Lions
4–1
W
6 Jun
@ Hakoah Sydney City
1–2
L
29 May
vs Mt Druitt Town
4–1
W
23 May
@ Hills Brumbies
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Newcastle Jets II – last 6
LLLDLL
27 Jun
@ Inter Lions
1–2
L
20 Jun
vs Macarthur Rams
0–1
L
13 Jun
@ Canterbury Bankstown
5–6
L
6 Jun
vs Prospect United
2–2
D
30 May
@ Bulls Academy
0–1
L
23 May
vs Hurstville FC
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Blacktown Spartans and Newcastle Jets II.
What is the prediction for Blacktown Spartans vs Newcastle Jets II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Blacktown Spartans vs Newcastle Jets II?
On our numbers Blacktown Spartans have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Newcastle Jets II 21%.
How many goals will there be in Blacktown Spartans vs Newcastle Jets II?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Blacktown Spartans vs Newcastle Jets II?
Our predicted score is Blacktown Spartans 2–1 Newcastle Jets II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Blacktown Spartans vs Newcastle Jets II?
Blacktown Spartans vs Newcastle Jets II (New South Wales NPL 2) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
New South Wales NPL 2 · Australia
Macarthur Rams3
Inter Lions2
Hills Brumbies1
Northern Tigers2
Bankstown City Lions2
Dulwich Hill2
Bulls Academy2
Mt Druitt Town3