Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: St George City FA to win @ 2.30 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt George City FA to win ✗46% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.43
St George City FA vs UNSW preview and prediction
The match
UNSW travel to Penshurst Park in the New South Wales NPL on Saturday 11 July (10:15 WAT) to face St George City FA.
Form guide
St George City FA's last 5: DLWDD Most recently they drew with Wollongong Wolves 3–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
UNSW's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Sydney FC U23 3–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
St George City FA arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 March 2026, finished UNSW 5–0 St George City FA.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for St George City FA and 1.2 for UNSW. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: St George City FA 46%, draw 21%, UNSW 33%.
Value angle: St George City FA to win at 2.30 – 46% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: St George City FA 1–0 UNSW. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St George City FA46%fair 2.17 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.30
UNSW33%fair 3.04 · @2.80
2.77Expected goals
1.53St George City FA xG
1.24UNSW xG
51%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: St George City FA 1.5 – 1.2 UNSW expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for St George City FA vs UNSW?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win St George City FA vs UNSW?
On our numbers St George City FA have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and UNSW 33%.
How many goals will there be in St George City FA vs UNSW?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St George City FA vs UNSW?
Our predicted score is St George City FA 1–0 UNSW, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is St George City FA vs UNSW?
St George City FA vs UNSW (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 10:15 (West Africa Time) at Penshurst Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
New South Wales NPL · Australia · Penshurst Park
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