Value bet: Sutherland Sharks to win @ 2.55 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSutherland Sharks to win ✓42% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.72
UNSW vs Sutherland Sharks preview and prediction
The match
The New South Wales NPL sees UNSW take on Sutherland Sharks on Saturday 27 June, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at The Village Green.
Form guide
UNSW's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Marconi Stallions 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sutherland Sharks's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Western Sydney Wanderers U23 3–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sutherland Sharks arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 March 2026, finished Sutherland Sharks 1–0 UNSW.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for UNSW and 1.5 for Sutherland Sharks. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: Sutherland Sharks to win at 2.55 – 42% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: UNSW 1–1 Sutherland Sharks. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UNSW35%fair 2.87 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.35
Sutherland Sharks42%fair 2.36 · @2.55
2.75Expected goals
1.29UNSW xG
1.46Sutherland Sharks xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: UNSW 1.3 – 1.5 Sutherland Sharks expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for UNSW vs Sutherland Sharks?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win UNSW vs Sutherland Sharks?
On our numbers UNSW have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sutherland Sharks 42%.
How many goals will there be in UNSW vs Sutherland Sharks?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UNSW vs Sutherland Sharks?
Our predicted score is UNSW 1–1 Sutherland Sharks, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is UNSW vs Sutherland Sharks?
UNSW vs Sutherland Sharks (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at The Village Green.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
New South Wales NPL · Australia · The Village Green
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