The New South Wales NPL sees Manly United take on UNSW on Friday 8 May, kicking off at 10:30 (WAT) at Cromer Park.
Form guide
Manly United's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to NWS Spirit 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
UNSW's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Blacktown City 2–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Manly United and 1.3 for UNSW. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Manly United 44%, draw 21%, UNSW 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Manly United 1–1 UNSW. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Manly United44%fair 2.26 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.40
UNSW35%fair 2.85 · @2.70
2.86Expected goals
1.53Manly United xG
1.33UNSW xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Manly United 1.5 – 1.3 UNSW expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manly United to win✓
44%
2.26
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manly United / FT Manly United✓
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.21
–
Form
Manly United – last 6
LLWWDL
2 May
@ NWS Spirit
1–2
L
25 Apr
@ Marconi Stallions
1–4
L
19 Apr
vs Rockdale City Suns
4–1
W
11 Apr
@ Sydney Olympic
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Sydney FC U23
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ Sutherland Sharks
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
UNSW – last 6
DLWDLW
2 May
vs Blacktown City
2–2
D
25 Apr
@ Sydney Olympic
1–2
L
18 Apr
vs Western Sydney Wanderers U23
2–1
W
11 Apr
vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ NWS Spirit
1–2
L
28 Mar
vs St George City FA
5–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manly United and UNSW.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Manly United vs UNSW?
On our numbers Manly United have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and UNSW 35%.
How many goals will there be in Manly United vs UNSW?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manly United vs UNSW?
Our predicted score is Manly United 1–1 UNSW, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Manly United vs UNSW?
Manly United vs UNSW (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Cromer Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
New South Wales NPL · Australia · Cromer Park
