UNSW vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to win ✗63% · @1.35
Double chanceAPIA Leichhardt Tigers or draw ✓82% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.17
UNSW vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers preview and prediction
The match
The New South Wales NPL sees UNSW take on APIA Leichhardt Tigers on Saturday 11 April, kicking off at 08:15 (WAT) at The Village Green.
Form guide
UNSW's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to NWS Spirit 1–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
APIA Leichhardt Tigers's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Western Sydney Wanderers U23 4–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
APIA Leichhardt Tigers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.1 for UNSW and 2.2 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: UNSW 1–2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UNSW18%fair 5.46 · @6.50
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @4.80
APIA Leichhardt Tigers63%fair 1.58 · @1.35
3.28Expected goals
1.08UNSW xG
2.20APIA Leichhardt Tigers xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: UNSW 1.1 – 2.2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
APIA Leichhardt Tigers to win✗
63%
1.58
1.35
Double chance
APIA Leichhardt Tigers or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
APIA Leichhardt Tigers ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT APIA Leichhardt Tigers / FT APIA Leichhardt Tigers✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.17
–
Form
UNSW – last 6
LWWLDL
4 Apr
@ NWS Spirit
1–2
L
28 Mar
vs St George City FA
5–0
W
20 Mar
@ Sydney FC U23
2–0
W
14 Mar
@ Sutherland Sharks
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Marconi Stallions
2–2
D
28 Feb
@ St. George Saints
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
APIA Leichhardt Tigers – last 6
WWWWWW
3 Apr
vs Western Sydney Wanderers U23
4–1
W
27 Mar
@ Sydney FC U23
2–0
W
21 Mar
vs Sutherland Sharks
2–1
W
14 Mar
@ Rockdale City Suns
1–0
W
7 Mar
vs Blacktown City
3–2
W
28 Feb
vs Wollongong Wolves
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UNSW and APIA Leichhardt Tigers.
What is the prediction for UNSW vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win UNSW vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?
On our numbers UNSW have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 18% and APIA Leichhardt Tigers 63%.
How many goals will there be in UNSW vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UNSW vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?
Our predicted score is UNSW 1–2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is UNSW vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?
UNSW vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 08:15 (West Africa Time) at The Village Green.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.