Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: Sutherland Sharks to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSutherland Sharks to win ✓61% · @1.91
Double chanceSutherland Sharks or draw ✓81% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Sutherland Sharks vs UNSW preview and prediction
The match
UNSW travel to Seymour Shaw Park in the New South Wales NPL on Saturday 14 March (07:30 WAT) to face Sutherland Sharks.
Form guide
Sutherland Sharks's last 4: LWLL Most recently they lost to Western Sydney Wanderers U23 2–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
UNSW's last 4: DLDL Most recently they drew with Marconi Stallions 2–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Sutherland Sharks and 1.1 for UNSW. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Safer route: Sutherland Sharks or draw (81%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Sutherland Sharks to win at 1.91 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sutherland Sharks or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sutherland Sharks 2–1 UNSW. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sutherland Sharks61%fair 1.65 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.40
UNSW19%fair 5.34 · @3.40
3.30Expected goals
2.17Sutherland Sharks xG
1.13UNSW xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Sutherland Sharks 2.2 – 1.1 UNSW expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sutherland Sharks to win✓
61%
1.65
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Sutherland Sharks or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Sutherland Sharks ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sutherland Sharks / FT Sutherland Sharks✓
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Form
Sutherland Sharks – last 4
LWLL
6 Mar
vs Western Sydney Wanderers U23
2–3
L
1 Mar
@ Blacktown City
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs St. George Saints
0–1
L
14 Feb
vs Sydney United
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
UNSW – last 4
DLDL
7 Mar
vs Marconi Stallions
2–2
D
28 Feb
@ St. George Saints
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs SD Raiders
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Wollongong Wolves
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sutherland Sharks and UNSW.
What is the prediction for Sutherland Sharks vs UNSW?
Our pick is Sutherland Sharks or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sutherland Sharks vs UNSW?
On our numbers Sutherland Sharks have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and UNSW 19%.
How many goals will there be in Sutherland Sharks vs UNSW?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sutherland Sharks vs UNSW?
Our predicted score is Sutherland Sharks 2–1 UNSW, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Sutherland Sharks vs UNSW?
Sutherland Sharks vs UNSW (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 07:30 (West Africa Time) at Seymour Shaw Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
New South Wales NPL · Australia · Seymour Shaw Park
Sydney Olympic0
St. George Saints2
Rockdale City Suns0
APIA Leichhardt Tigers1
St George City FA4
SD Raiders3