Value bet: Sydney United to win @ 1.83 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSydney United to win ✗61% · @1.83
Double chanceSydney United or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.54
Blacktown City vs Sydney United preview and prediction
The match
The New South Wales NPL sees Blacktown City take on Sydney United on Sunday 5 July, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Landen Stadium.
Form guide
Blacktown City's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Marconi Stallions 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Sydney United's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Sydney FC U23 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Sydney United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Sydney United 2–0 Blacktown City.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Blacktown City and 1.9 for Sydney United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Blacktown City 18%, draw 21%, Sydney United 61%.
Safer route: Sydney United or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Sydney United to win at 1.83 – 61% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Blacktown City 0–2 Sydney United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Blacktown City18%fair 5.60 · @3.75
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.45
Sydney United61%fair 1.64 · @1.83
2.78Expected goals
0.90Blacktown City xG
1.88Sydney United xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
From our goals model: Blacktown City 0.9 – 1.9 Sydney United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Blacktown City vs Sydney United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Blacktown City vs Sydney United?
On our numbers Blacktown City have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sydney United 61%.
How many goals will there be in Blacktown City vs Sydney United?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Blacktown City vs Sydney United?
Our predicted score is Blacktown City 0–2 Sydney United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Blacktown City vs Sydney United?
Blacktown City vs Sydney United (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Landen Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.