Value bet: SD Raiders to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultManly United to win ✓43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓9% · fair 10.64
Manly United vs SD Raiders preview and prediction
The match
Manly United host SD Raiders in the New South Wales NPL on Saturday 4 July, with kick-off at 08:00 (WAT) at Cromer Park.
Form guide
Manly United's last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with Western Sydney Wanderers U23 3–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
SD Raiders's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Sydney FC U23 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 March 2026, finished SD Raiders 3–1 Manly United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Manly United and 1.3 for SD Raiders. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 61%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Manly United 43%, draw 23%, SD Raiders 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.60.
Value angle: SD Raiders to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Manly United 1–1 SD Raiders. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Manly United43%fair 2.35 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.35
SD Raiders35%fair 2.89 · @3.20
2.74Expected goals
1.46Manly United xG
1.28SD Raiders xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Manly United 1.5 – 1.3 SD Raiders expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Manly United vs SD Raiders?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Manly United vs SD Raiders?
On our numbers Manly United have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and SD Raiders 35%.
How many goals will there be in Manly United vs SD Raiders?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manly United vs SD Raiders?
Our predicted score is Manly United 1–1 SD Raiders, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Manly United vs SD Raiders?
Manly United vs SD Raiders (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Cromer Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
New South Wales NPL · Australia · Cromer Park
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