APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney United prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: APIA Leichhardt Tigers to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.08
APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney United preview and prediction
The match
APIA Leichhardt Tigers host Sydney United in the New South Wales NPL on Saturday 9 May, with kick-off at 08:15 (WAT) at Lambert Park.
Form guide
APIA Leichhardt Tigers's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat SD Raiders 3–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Sydney United's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Sydney Olympic 3–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
APIA Leichhardt Tigers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 1.1 for Sydney United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: APIA Leichhardt Tigers 59%, draw 20%, Sydney United 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Value angle: APIA Leichhardt Tigers to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1–1 Sydney United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
APIA Leichhardt Tigers59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.50
Sydney United21%fair 4.65 · @3.35
3.02Expected goals
1.95APIA Leichhardt Tigers xG
1.08Sydney United xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1.9 – 1.1 Sydney United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
APIA Leichhardt Tigers to win✓
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Half-time result
APIA Leichhardt Tigers ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT APIA Leichhardt Tigers / FT APIA Leichhardt Tigers✓
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.08
–
Form
APIA Leichhardt Tigers – last 6
WWWDWW
2 May
@ SD Raiders
3–2
W
26 Apr
vs St. George Saints
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Sydney Olympic
4–1
W
11 Apr
@ UNSW
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Western Sydney Wanderers U23
4–1
W
27 Mar
@ Sydney FC U23
2–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sydney United – last 6
WLWDWW
3 May
vs Sydney Olympic
3–0
W
26 Apr
vs Wollongong Wolves
0–1
L
18 Apr
@ NWS Spirit
3–2
W
12 Apr
vs St George City FA
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Marconi Stallions
1–0
W
28 Mar
@ Rockdale City Suns
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between APIA Leichhardt Tigers and Sydney United.
What is the prediction for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney United?
On our numbers APIA Leichhardt Tigers have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sydney United 21%.
How many goals will there be in APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney United?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney United?
Our predicted score is APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1–1 Sydney United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney United?
APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney United (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 08:15 (West Africa Time) at Lambert Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
New South Wales NPL · Australia · Lambert Park
Western Sydney Wanderers U230
Wollongong Wolves0
SD Raiders0
NWS Spirit0
Marconi Stallions2
Sydney Olympic0
St George City FA1
Sutherland Sharks0