Value bet: Sydney United to win @ 1.83 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSydney United to win ✗61% · @1.83
Double chanceSydney United or draw ✗82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.76
Sydney United vs Wollongong Wolves preview and prediction
The match
Sydney United host Wollongong Wolves in the New South Wales NPL on Sunday 26 April, with kick-off at 05:30 (WAT) at Sydney United Sports Centre.
Form guide
Sydney United's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat NWS Spirit 3–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Wollongong Wolves's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Sutherland Sharks 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Sydney United and 0.8 for Wollongong Wolves. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sydney United 61%, draw 21%, Wollongong Wolves 18%.
Safer route: Sydney United or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Sydney United to win at 1.83 – 61% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sydney United 2–0 Wollongong Wolves. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sydney United61%fair 1.64 · @1.83
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.50
Wollongong Wolves18%fair 5.59 · @3.75
2.64Expected goals
1.80Sydney United xG
0.84Wollongong Wolves xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sydney United 1.8 – 0.8 Wollongong Wolves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sydney United to win✗
61%
1.64
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Sydney United or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.36
Half-time result
Sydney United ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sydney United / FT Sydney United✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.76
–
Form
Sydney United – last 6
WDWWWW
18 Apr
@ NWS Spirit
3–2
W
12 Apr
vs St George City FA
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Marconi Stallions
1–0
W
28 Mar
@ Rockdale City Suns
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Blacktown City
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Sydney FC U23
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Wollongong Wolves – last 6
WWDWWD
19 Apr
vs Sutherland Sharks
2–1
W
12 Apr
@ Blacktown City
3–1
W
4 Apr
@ SD Raiders
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Sydney Olympic
2–1
W
21 Mar
@ St George City FA
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs NWS Spirit
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sydney United and Wollongong Wolves.
What is the prediction for Sydney United vs Wollongong Wolves?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sydney United vs Wollongong Wolves?
On our numbers Sydney United have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Wollongong Wolves 18%.
How many goals will there be in Sydney United vs Wollongong Wolves?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sydney United vs Wollongong Wolves?
Our predicted score is Sydney United 2–0 Wollongong Wolves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sydney United vs Wollongong Wolves?
Sydney United vs Wollongong Wolves (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 05:30 (West Africa Time) at Sydney United Sports Centre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.