Value bet: Sydney United to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSydney United to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.12
NWS Spirit vs Sydney United preview and prediction
The match
Sydney United travel to Christie Park in the New South Wales NPL on Saturday 18 April (08:30 WAT) to face NWS Spirit.
Form guide
NWS Spirit's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Western Sydney Wanderers U23 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sydney United's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with St George City FA 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sydney United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.9 for NWS Spirit and 1.7 for Sydney United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: NWS Spirit 24%, draw 17%, Sydney United 59%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Sydney United to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: NWS Spirit 1–1 Sydney United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NWS Spirit24%fair 4.12 · @3.25
Draw17%fair 6.05 · @3.55
Sydney United59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
2.62Expected goals
0.93NWS Spirit xG
1.70Sydney United xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: NWS Spirit 0.9 – 1.7 Sydney United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sydney United to win✓
59%
1.69
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sydney United / FT Sydney United✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.12
–
Form
NWS Spirit – last 6
DWWLDW
12 Apr
@ Western Sydney Wanderers U23
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs UNSW
2–1
W
28 Mar
@ St. George Saints
3–0
W
21 Mar
vs Rockdale City Suns
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Wollongong Wolves
0–0
D
7 Mar
vs St George City FA
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sydney United – last 6
DWWWWW
12 Apr
vs St George City FA
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Marconi Stallions
1–0
W
28 Mar
@ Rockdale City Suns
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Blacktown City
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Sydney FC U23
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ SD Raiders
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NWS Spirit and Sydney United.
What is the prediction for NWS Spirit vs Sydney United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win NWS Spirit vs Sydney United?
On our numbers NWS Spirit have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Sydney United 59%.
How many goals will there be in NWS Spirit vs Sydney United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NWS Spirit vs Sydney United?
Our predicted score is NWS Spirit 1–1 Sydney United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is NWS Spirit vs Sydney United?
NWS Spirit vs Sydney United (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Christie Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
New South Wales NPL · Australia · Christie Park
SD Raiders1
St. George Saints0
UNSW2
Western Sydney Wanderers U231
St George City FA1
Marconi Stallions2