Value bet: Blacktown City to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt George City FA to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.92
St George City FA vs Blacktown City preview and prediction
The match
St George City FA host Blacktown City in the New South Wales NPL on Saturday 4 April, with kick-off at 09:15 (WAT) at Penshurst Park.
Form guide
St George City FA's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to UNSW 0–5 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Blacktown City's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to SD Raiders 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
St George City FA arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for St George City FA and 1.4 for Blacktown City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: St George City FA 39%, draw 22%, Blacktown City 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Blacktown City to win at 2.80 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: St George City FA 1–1 Blacktown City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St George City FA39%fair 2.57 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.50
Blacktown City39%fair 2.59 · @2.80
2.85Expected goals
1.43St George City FA xG
1.42Blacktown City xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: St George City FA 1.4 – 1.4 Blacktown City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St George City FA to win✗
39%
2.57
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St George City FA / FT St George City FA✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.92
–
Form
St George City FA – last 6
LLWLWD
28 Mar
@ UNSW
0–5
L
21 Mar
vs Wollongong Wolves
0–1
L
14 Mar
vs SD Raiders
4–3
W
7 Mar
@ NWS Spirit
0–2
L
28 Feb
vs Western Sydney Wanderers U23
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Sydney Olympic
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Blacktown City – last 6
LLLLLL
29 Mar
vs SD Raiders
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Sydney United
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Marconi Stallions
0–1
L
7 Mar
@ APIA Leichhardt Tigers
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs Sutherland Sharks
2–3
L
21 Feb
@ Rockdale City Suns
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St George City FA and Blacktown City.
What is the prediction for St George City FA vs Blacktown City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win St George City FA vs Blacktown City?
On our numbers St George City FA have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Blacktown City 39%.
How many goals will there be in St George City FA vs Blacktown City?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St George City FA vs Blacktown City?
Our predicted score is St George City FA 1–1 Blacktown City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is St George City FA vs Blacktown City?
St George City FA vs Blacktown City (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 09:15 (West Africa Time) at Penshurst Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.