APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to win ✓64% · @1.33
Double chanceAPIA Leichhardt Tigers or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.19
APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks preview and prediction
The match
The New South Wales NPL sees APIA Leichhardt Tigers take on Sutherland Sharks on Saturday 21 March, kicking off at 07:45 (WAT) at Lambert Park.
Form guide
APIA Leichhardt Tigers's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Rockdale City Suns 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sutherland Sharks's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat UNSW 1–0 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.
APIA Leichhardt Tigers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.6 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 1.0 for Sutherland Sharks. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2–1 Sutherland Sharks. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
APIA Leichhardt Tigers64%fair 1.55 · @1.33
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @4.75
Sutherland Sharks13%fair 7.78 · @7.20
3.21Expected goals
2.24APIA Leichhardt Tigers xG
0.96Sutherland Sharks xG
58%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2.2 – 1.0 Sutherland Sharks expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
APIA Leichhardt Tigers to win✓
64%
1.55
1.33
Double chance
APIA Leichhardt Tigers or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.73
Half-time result
APIA Leichhardt Tigers ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT APIA Leichhardt Tigers / FT APIA Leichhardt Tigers✗
44%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.19
–
Form
APIA Leichhardt Tigers – last 5
WWWDW
14 Mar
@ Rockdale City Suns
1–0
W
7 Mar
vs Blacktown City
3–2
W
28 Feb
vs Wollongong Wolves
2–0
W
20 Feb
@ Manly United
2–2
D
14 Feb
vs NWS Spirit
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Sutherland Sharks – last 5
WLWLL
14 Mar
vs UNSW
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Western Sydney Wanderers U23
2–3
L
1 Mar
@ Blacktown City
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs St. George Saints
0–1
L
14 Feb
vs Sydney United
1–2
L
1.4Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between APIA Leichhardt Tigers and Sutherland Sharks.
What is the prediction for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks?
On our numbers APIA Leichhardt Tigers have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sutherland Sharks 13%.
How many goals will there be in APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks?
Our predicted score is APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2–1 Sutherland Sharks, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks?
APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 07:45 (West Africa Time) at Lambert Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.