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New South Wales NPL · Australia · Lambert Park

APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks prediction & analysis

64%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to win ✓64% · @1.33
Double chanceAPIA Leichhardt Tigers or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.19

APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks preview and prediction

The match

The New South Wales NPL sees APIA Leichhardt Tigers take on Sutherland Sharks on Saturday 21 March, kicking off at 07:45 (WAT) at Lambert Park.

Form guide

APIA Leichhardt Tigers's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Rockdale City Suns 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Sutherland Sharks's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat UNSW 1–0 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

APIA Leichhardt Tigers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.6 points a game against 1.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 1.0 for Sutherland Sharks. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2–1 Sutherland Sharks. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

APIA Leichhardt Tigers64%fair 1.55 · @1.33
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @4.75
Sutherland Sharks13%fair 7.78 · @7.20
3.21Expected goals
2.24APIA Leichhardt Tigers xG
0.96Sutherland Sharks xG
58%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2.2 – 1.0 Sutherland Sharks expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to win ✓64%1.551.33
Double chanceAPIA Leichhardt Tigers or draw ✓87%1.151.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.711.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.561.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.761.73
Half-time resultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers ahead at half-time ✗49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT APIA Leichhardt Tigers / FT APIA Leichhardt Tigers ✗44%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.19–

Form

APIA Leichhardt Tigers – last 5

WWWDW
14 Mar@ Rockdale City Suns1–0W
7 Marvs Blacktown City3–2W
28 Febvs Wollongong Wolves2–0W
20 Feb@ Manly United2–2D
14 Febvs NWS Spirit3–2W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Sutherland Sharks – last 5

WLWLL
14 Marvs UNSW1–0W
6 Marvs Western Sydney Wanderers U232–3L
1 Mar@ Blacktown City3–2W
21 Febvs St. George Saints0–1L
14 Febvs Sydney United1–2L
1.4Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between APIA Leichhardt Tigers and Sutherland Sharks.

APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks head-to-head page →

More New South Wales NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks?

On our numbers APIA Leichhardt Tigers have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sutherland Sharks 13%.

How many goals will there be in APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks?

Our predicted score is APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2–1 Sutherland Sharks, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 07:45 (West Africa Time) at Lambert Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.