Value bet: Blacktown City to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBlacktown City to win ✗58% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.27
Blacktown City vs Sutherland Sharks preview and prediction
The match
The New South Wales NPL sees Blacktown City take on Sutherland Sharks on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 05:00 (WAT) at Landen Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.7 for Blacktown City and 0.9 for Sutherland Sharks. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Blacktown City 58%, draw 20%, Sutherland Sharks 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Blacktown City to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Blacktown City 1–1 Sutherland Sharks. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Blacktown City58%fair 1.71 · @1.91
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.55
Sutherland Sharks22%fair 4.53 · @3.35
2.66Expected goals
1.73Blacktown City xG
0.93Sutherland Sharks xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Blacktown City 1.7 – 0.9 Sutherland Sharks expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Blacktown City to win✗
58%
1.71
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Blacktown City / FT Blacktown City✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.27
–
Form
Blacktown City – last 2
LD
21 Feb
@ Rockdale City Suns
2–3
L
14 Feb
vs Manly United
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sutherland Sharks – last 2
LL
21 Feb
vs St. George Saints
0–1
L
14 Feb
vs Sydney United
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Blacktown City and Sutherland Sharks.
What is the prediction for Blacktown City vs Sutherland Sharks?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Blacktown City vs Sutherland Sharks?
On our numbers Blacktown City have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sutherland Sharks 22%.
How many goals will there be in Blacktown City vs Sutherland Sharks?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Blacktown City vs Sutherland Sharks?
Our predicted score is Blacktown City 1–1 Sutherland Sharks, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Blacktown City vs Sutherland Sharks?
Blacktown City vs Sutherland Sharks (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Landen Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
New South Wales NPL · Australia · Landen Stadium
