Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Supra du Quebec to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSupra du Quebec to win ✓65% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC preview and prediction
The match
The Canadian Premier League sees Supra du Quebec take on Pacific FC on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at CEPSUM Stadium. Supra du Quebec are 4th with 38 points from 28 games (in the top four), while Pacific FC sit 8th on 15 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Supra du Quebec's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Cavalry FC 0–6 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Pacific FC's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat York United 4–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Pacific FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 August 2026, finished Pacific FC 1–2 Supra du Quebec. Across their last 3 meetings Supra du Quebec have won 2, Pacific FC 0, with 1 draw and 3.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Supra du Quebec and 1.1 for Pacific FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Supra du Quebec 65%, draw 12%, Pacific FC 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Supra du Quebec to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Supra du Quebec 2–1 Pacific FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Supra du Quebec65%fair 1.53 · @1.73
Draw12%fair 8.09 · @3.90
Pacific FC22%fair 4.48 · @3.40
3.30Expected goals
2.18Supra du Quebec xG
1.12Pacific FC xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Supra du Quebec 2.2 – 1.1 Pacific FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC?
Our pick is Supra du Quebec to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC?
On our numbers Supra du Quebec have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Pacific FC 22%.
How many goals will there be in Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC?
Our predicted score is Supra du Quebec 2–1 Pacific FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC?
Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at CEPSUM Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
