Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
Cavalry FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Cavalry FC to win @ 1.70 – our chance 66% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCavalry FC to win ✗66% · @1.70
Double chanceCavalry FC or draw ✗88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.13
Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC preview and prediction
The match
The Canadian Premier League sees Atlético Ottawa take on Cavalry FC on Thursday 1 October, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at TD Place Stadium. Atlético Ottawa are 3rd with 43 points from 28 games (in the top four), while Cavalry FC sit 1st on 60 points (top of the table). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atlético Ottawa's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat HFX Wanderers FC 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Cavalry FC's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Supra du Quebec 6–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cavalry FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 August 2026, finished Cavalry FC 3–1 Atlético Ottawa. Across their last 2 meetings Atlético Ottawa have won 0, Cavalry FC 2, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for Atlético Ottawa and 2.1 for Cavalry FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlético Ottawa 12%, draw 22%, Cavalry FC 66%.
Safer route: Cavalry FC or draw (88%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Cavalry FC to win at 1.70 – 66% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cavalry FC or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atlético Ottawa 0–2 Cavalry FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlético Ottawa12%fair 8.32 · @3.80
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.70
Cavalry FC66%fair 1.51 · @1.70
2.87Expected goals
0.79Atlético Ottawa xG
2.08Cavalry FC xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: Atlético Ottawa 0.8 – 2.1 Cavalry FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?
Our pick is Cavalry FC or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?
On our numbers Atlético Ottawa have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cavalry FC 66%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?
Our predicted score is Atlético Ottawa 0–2 Cavalry FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?
Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at TD Place Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
