Atlético Ottawa vs York United prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Atlético Ottawa to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.82 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.82Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlético Ottawa to win ✓64% · @1.82
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.27
Atlético Ottawa vs York United preview and prediction
The match
The Canadian Premier League sees Atlético Ottawa take on York United on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at TD Place Stadium. Atlético Ottawa are 3rd with 43 points from 28 games (in the top four), while York United sit 6th on 30 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atlético Ottawa's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Cavalry FC 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
York United's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Supra du Quebec 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Atlético Ottawa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 July 2026, finished Atlético Ottawa 1–1 York United. Across their last 2 meetings Atlético Ottawa have won 0, York United 1, with 1 draw and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.3 for Atlético Ottawa and 1.1 for York United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlético Ottawa 64%, draw 16%, York United 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.42.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atlético Ottawa to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.82, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atlético Ottawa 2–1 York United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlético Ottawa64%fair 1.55 · @1.82
Draw16%fair 6.11 · @3.90
York United19%fair 5.20 · @3.50
3.38Expected goals
2.26Atlético Ottawa xG
1.12York United xG
67%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Atlético Ottawa 2.3 – 1.1 York United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atlético Ottawa vs York United?
Our pick is Atlético Ottawa to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.82.
Who will win Atlético Ottawa vs York United?
On our numbers Atlético Ottawa have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 16% and York United 19%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Ottawa vs York United?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Ottawa vs York United?
Our predicted score is Atlético Ottawa 2–1 York United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Atlético Ottawa vs York United?
Atlético Ottawa vs York United (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at TD Place Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.